Anyhow, you should at least review the website, and skim through the document, if not read it fully.
There is a lot to like in this proposal as it currently stands, though I do have some major concerns. Let me get to my big concern first, though.
It appears to me that they are doing nothing at all to address the “so why should we believe you now” question. Much of what’s in this plan is stuff we’ve heard from Republicans and Libertarians for years. But Rep. Ryan and many of the people involved in this were also here during the GOP control of Congress under Bush - and didn’t walk the walk. Nor have I seen any evidence of GOP leadership involved in this (Rep. Ryan is senior GOP on the House Budget committee, I believe, but, for example, I don’t see Reps. Boehnor or Cantor involved with this).
There needs to be more than “trust us, we really mean it this time”. Because, TBH, I do not trust the Republican leadership’s fiscal conservative talk any more than I would believe it if this document had Nancy Pelosi’s name on it (well, that’s an exaggeration, but you get the point). For me, it’s a “fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me” thing with the GOP leadership. I used to trust the GOP to walk the walk on fiscal issues, and most of our disagreements were in other areas. Nowadays, I don’t trust the GOP leadership on fiscal issues any more than I trust the Democrats. Sorry, I just don’t. I believe there are strong fiscal conservatives in the GOP rank & file, but if the GOP winds up back in power in November, I do not trust their current leadership one iota in implementing this plan.
Now, all that politics aside, as for the plan itself: I like it. Pretty much all of it. The vast majority of it makes sense. It puts in writing many things I’ve written about myself. For example, I’ve routinely used the example of SEC/FASB as a poster-child of a public/private partnership of regulatory standards that actually work (for the most part), and in particular, provide the markets with consistently-structured, and hence comparable, information with which to make decisions. The roadmap uses that exact example to describe the workings of a proposed “Forum for Quality and Effectiveness in Health Care” (I can’t wait for Sarah Palin to be writing essays against this “death panel” /snark).
They also address the issue with the lack of life-expectancy indexing in Social Security, which I’ve discussed several times. There’s a proposal to add such targetting, but it ramps in at such a slow rate that I wonder about its efficacy (it proposes getting the age up to 70 by the next century). Still, it’s bloody good to see someone actually have the cojones to put this issue in writing.
One of the reasons I want to read the legislation itself is that I am having a hard time seeing how these proposals lead to smaller government. To me, they seem to be creating more bureaucracy, not less. For example, the tax-reform proposal states, without an end-date, that consumers will be able to choose whether to continue to file under the current tax code or under the new, simplified, tax code. I don’t see how that creates less work for the IRS; it seems to me that it creates more (since you need systems, paperwork, and people trained on both codes). The idea that everyone will voluntarily switch over to the new system doesn’t really work either - there are entire industries (accountants, tax advisors, tax attorneys, software vendors, etc) who will be incented to convince people that they can save them more with the complex old many-deduction tax code.
Similarly, it seems to me that the patient-centric health insurance reform comes with a crap-ton more bureaucracy as well, as the system is described. It’s oversight-style (e.g. SEC/FASB) bureaucracy rather than operational-style (e.g. current Medicare) bureaucracy as with the Democratic healthcare proposals, and so that’s great in and of itself. But when I read this, I see more work for the health insurance and health care providers, and hence upward pressure on costs. Market competition enabled by the proposed changes will, of course, provide downward price pressures, but will health care providers get squeezed between those pressures? I’m not sure I see how they aren’t, and the impacts of that squeeze are unclear to me.
A lot of the proposal document, TBH, sounds very “compassionate conservative” to me, rather than strictly “fiscal conservative”. Everyone should be able to get health insurance coverage, period. We provide a bunch of ways to make sure that happens. Low-income people should get more benefits, etc, etc. The health care, Medicare, and Social Security parts of this document sound very populist to me, but with a market-forces bent as opposed to the “progressive” redistributive bent of Democratic proposals. Again, that’s certainly better, but is it in and of itself good? Or is it just designed to get votes?
There’s a ton more to this document, but I don’t want to make this an excruciatingly long post; the documents themselves are excruciatingly long enough. I would say that I probably agree with 80% or more of what this plan proposes. With the huge caveat that I trust the people proposing it little to not at all.
Look the website and/or the plan over and tell me what you think.
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Health Care
Discussions about health care initiatives (universal health care, medicare, etc).